About
Tabiri is Kenya's social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, football, entertainment, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Prediction markets like Tabiri are well calibrated: market probabilities are created by traders putting their money where their mouth is, and historically land within a few percentage points of the true probability.
When traders get it wrong, they lose to the traders who got it right, so prices keep getting more honest over time. Plenty of people who don't even like betting still check prediction markets for a straight read on what's likely to happen.
Why real money?
KES (KES) is real money. Deposit and withdraw it anytime through M-Pesa, straight from your wallet.
Trading with real money keeps the odds honest. People only back a question when they'd actually put cash on it, and that's what makes the resulting probabilities worth trusting.
How do prizes work?
Tabiri runs regular prize drawings for top forecasters.
No purchase necessary. You get one free entry per drawing.
Intro video
Everything you need to know in 7 minutes presented by an animated corgi:
Our mission
Provide the most accurate, real-time predictions on any event.
Combat misleading news by incentivising traders to be fast and correct.
Help people make more informed decisions by improving their model of the future.
Still have questions?
If you need help with a specific market please tag @mods in a comment for help!